May 20, 2024

May 25, 2023 White Sox at Tigers Predictions & Betting Tips

A complete betting guide and predictions for the May 25, 2023 match-up between the Chicago White Sox and the Detroit Tigers.

The Detroit Tigers have money line betting odds of +118 at home against the Chicago White Sox. You can bet the money line on the Chicago White Sox at -140. The total for this game is set at over/under),”)8.

Baseball Bot’s system is based on the starting pitchers listed on this page. If one or both of those pitchers do not end up pitching, consider this analysis void.

Need help understanding the statistics used below? Check out our Baseball Stats Guide.

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Chicago White Sox -140

CHW Starter: Lucas Giolito 1.21 ERA/3.62 FIP
CHW Bullpen: 5.19 ERA/4.69 FIP
CHW OPS: 0.683

Detroit Tigers +118

DET Starter: Alex Faedo 2.87 ERA/4.6 FIP
DET Bullpen: 3.73 ERA/4.17 FIP
DET OPS: 0.654

Detroit Tigers Pitching:

The Tigers will send Alex Faedo to the mound at home against the Chicago White Sox. Alex Faedo has a 2.87 ERA and a 4.6 FIP in 145 starts and 3 innings thus far this season. To clarify, his average start lasts innings. All things considered, he has struck out 15.2 batters per nine innings on the positive side. On the negative side, he’s walking 6.89 per nine and allowing 0.57 HR/9. Additionally, over his last 145 starts and 3 innings, Alex Faedo has a 2.87 ERA and a 4.6 FIP with 15.2 K/9, 6.89 BB/9. In addition, he has allowed 0.57 homeruns per nine innings.

The Tigers bullpen behind him has a 3.73 ERA/4.17 FIP for the season while striking out 8.38 per nine, walking 2.73 per nine, and allowing 1.16 homeruns/9 with a BABIP of 0.272.

Those numbers for the last two weeks are slightly different with a 2.81 ERA/2.76 FIP. The strikeouts change to 8.44 per nine, walks to 2.25 BB/9, and homeruns go to 0.38 per nine innings with a overall BABIP of 0.3.

For the last month they have allowed 0.85 homers per nine, 2.75 walks, and struck out 8.24 batters per nine innings with a BABIP of 0.296. They have a 3.22 ERA/3.69 FIP over the past month.

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Chicago White Sox Offense:

Alex Faedo and the bullpen balance against the White Sox offense which presently has an OPS of 0.683 with an isolated slugging of 0.146, a team wRC+ of 87. They have a team walk percentage of 0.067 and they strikeout 0.223 percent of the time.

Over the past two weeks, the Chicago White Sox offense has struck out in 0.22 percent of at-bats, walked in 0.048 of ABs, slugged for a 0.14 isolated slugging, and hit for a team 0.663 OPS with a wRC+ of 82.

The numbers vary slightly for the past month with a OPS of 0.687, team isolated slugging of 0.146, and wRC+ of 88. During this time the White Sox have struck out 0.22 and walked in 0.048 percent of at-bats.

The Chicago White Sox against lefties have a 104 wRC+ in view of a 0.736 OPS with a 0.077 walk rate and a 0.219 strikeout rate.

Comparatively, against righties they have a 83 wRC+ in view of a 0.669 OPS with a 0.064 walk rate and a 0.669 strikeout rate.

The White Sox have an over/under record of 23-25-3, going over in 0.48 percent and under 0.52 percent. Lastly, they have a straight-up record (straight-up division record) of 21-30 (11-8) and a Run Line record of 27-24-0.

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MLB Statcast Match-up:
Statcast Leaderboard
Hard Hit % Barrels %
Lucas Giolito 0.094 3.81
DET Offense 0.41 0.075
Alex Faedo 0.104 6.09
CHW Offense 0.373 0.076

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Chicago White Sox Pitching:

The White Sox will send Lucas Giolito out first to face Tigers. He has struck out 59.2 batters per nine thus far this season while walking 9.05 per nine. He has pitched 10 innings and made 86 starts, an average start of innings. Lucas Giolito has allowed 1.81 homeruns per nine innings in those starts with a 1.21 ERA/3.62 FIP all in all.

Lucas Giolito has a 1.14 ERA/2.84 FIP over his past 78 starts and 5 innings. During this stretch he has struck out 31.2 batters per nine, walked 9.09 per nine, and allowed 1.71 homers per nine innings.

He will be backed up by his bullpen which has a 5.19 ERA/4.69 FIP to date. They have walked 4.33 per nine, struck out 9.73 per nine, and allowed 1.34 homers/nine. Their BABIP currently sits at 0.317.

Over the last two weeks, the Chicago White Sox bullpen has a K/9 of 6.86, a BB/9 of 2.52, and a HR/9 of 0.46 with a 0.241 BABIP. To sum up, they have a 1.83 ERA/3.33 FIP in this case.

If we zoom out over the past month, we see a Chicago White Sox bullpen that has struck out 8.93 batters per nine, walked 3.35 per nine, and allowed 1.62 homeruns per nine innings. They have a BABIP of 0.271 over this time period with a 4.36 ERA/4.92 FIP.

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Detroit Tigers Offense:

For the season, they have a 0.654 OPS and a 0.124 isolated slugging. That’s good for a 84 wRC+. At the plate, they have struck out 0.239 and walked 0.085 percent of the time.

Over the past two weeks, the offense has hit for a 84 wRC+ on a 0.641 OPS and 0.114 isolated slugging. During this run, the Detroit Tigers offense has struck out in 0.205 percent of at-bats and walked in 0.112 of them.

The numbers vary over the past month as the Tigers have walked in 0.086 and struck out in 0.223 of at-bats. This past month they have a 96 wRC+, a 0.694 OPS, and a 0.132 isolated slugging.

Against righties they have a 82 wRC+ in view of a 0.645 OPS with a 0.086 walk rate and a 0.645 strikeout rate.

The Tigers against lefties have a 89 wRC+ in view of a 0.682 OPS with a 0.076 walk rate and a 0.682 strikeout rate.

The Detroit Tigers are 22-25 (6-3) straight up / straight up in the division this season for a 0.47 win percentage. For the season, they are 26-21-0 against the run line, winning 0.553 percent of games. Lastly, they have a 24-22-1 over/under/push record this season. Therefore they have went over 0.521 percent of the time and under at 0.479.

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Baseball Bot Prediction:

White Sox: 4.5
Tigers: 3.5

Total: 8

Best Bets:

White Sox -140
Under 8

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